On March 07 2024 13:54 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: It bothers me that slam makes this post
On March 07 2024 13:20 Alakaslam wrote:
On March 07 2024 12:45 Oatsmaster wrote:
On March 07 2024 12:41 DarthPunk wrote: why did mafia not shoot slam, or even roleblock him?
My current hypothesis is they have a framer and felt good about him checking me
God damn it, he is good, he has me wifoming myself to death. I am almost considering unvote
And then copcake starts pouring on the pressure. Like the only way Oats survives the day if he's scum is if his team can somehow get people to doubt the check. It doesn't matter the reasons for the doubt but enough people overthink a red check, oats could wiggle out.
I ask those questions to clear every possible scenario. But Slam/Oats mafia together is not happening.
Slam’s choice of Oats seemed weird but I liked Slam’s answer.
It makes sense and fits his persona. (Even tho I dont think Oats was being pedantic)
Besides Slam doing whole “i am a lying cop” doesnt fit his personality either.
Then why are you having this conversation. This is really a pretty binary situation, we lynch oats. He flips miller/scum. We move on. He flips town, we have a discussion on D3 that you're trying to have right now. This theorycrafting you're doing is unproductive and gives a red check (WHO IS STATISTICALLY MOST LIKELY SCUM) a chance to escape. Before the NK, there are 19 people left, I'm bad at math so I used an internet calculator and maybe I set the equation up wrong but the probability of slam checking someone AND the probability of them being framed/the miller is 0.025% + Show Spoiler +
(I think that's a %, I'm ready to get flamed by people who actually do math to tell me I'm wrong).
Me personally, I'm taking that every time.
That’s wrong lol what?
Assuming 1 miller and a framer, chances are 1/16 + 1/13 ASSUMING framer is completely random 13% What is this ridiculous math argument tbh
On March 07 2024 13:54 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: It bothers me that slam makes this post
On March 07 2024 13:20 Alakaslam wrote:
On March 07 2024 12:45 Oatsmaster wrote:
On March 07 2024 12:41 DarthPunk wrote: why did mafia not shoot slam, or even roleblock him?
My current hypothesis is they have a framer and felt good about him checking me
God damn it, he is good, he has me wifoming myself to death. I am almost considering unvote
And then copcake starts pouring on the pressure. Like the only way Oats survives the day if he's scum is if his team can somehow get people to doubt the check. It doesn't matter the reasons for the doubt but enough people overthink a red check, oats could wiggle out.
I ask those questions to clear every possible scenario. But Slam/Oats mafia together is not happening.
Slam’s choice of Oats seemed weird but I liked Slam’s answer.
It makes sense and fits his persona. (Even tho I dont think Oats was being pedantic)
Besides Slam doing whole “i am a lying cop” doesnt fit his personality either.
Then why are you having this conversation. This is really a pretty binary situation, we lynch oats. He flips miller/scum. We move on. He flips town, we have a discussion on D3 that you're trying to have right now. This theorycrafting you're doing is unproductive and gives a red check (WHO IS STATISTICALLY MOST LIKELY SCUM) a chance to escape. Before the NK, there are 19 people left, I'm bad at math so I used an internet calculator and maybe I set the equation up wrong but the probability of slam checking someone AND the probability of them being framed/the miller is 0.025% + Show Spoiler +
(I think that's a %, I'm ready to get flamed by people who actually do math to tell me I'm wrong).
On March 07 2024 14:17 Oatsmaster wrote: Okay that mz post just triggered me so hard like what in the actual fuck was that.
I admit it's a pretty gross mathematical error at best...
I still think it is closer to 1 in 40 though because the percentages don't stack. It isn't so much math as it is statistics. Which is a related, but different field.