DP town. Oats not so sure.
Would you agree ?
Forum Index > TL Mafia |
Vivax
Austria20945 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:41 iamperfection wrote: Show nested quote + On March 04 2024 12:40 Vivax wrote: On March 04 2024 12:38 iamperfection wrote: can we not speculate on hypothetical wagons for now. For what its worth nobody's posts have given me mafia goosebumps yet. Are you so quick to write off Oats for not reading the OP? But I agree that I probably won‘t vote for him. He was good last game on MS though, when he was town. games in bizaro world dont count. DP town. Oats not so sure. Would you agree ? | ||
Trfel
6530 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:41 DarthPunk wrote: Mafia dumb or dumb dumb?Show nested quote + On March 04 2024 12:40 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:34 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: There's almost nothing to be said for wisdom of the crowds, that's the point. It's 16 vs 5, the whole point is that wisdom of the crowds is really ineffective, that's how the game works.On March 04 2024 12:31 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:28 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: You're still ignoring the possibility that both are town. My point is, just because "town" votes for something doesn't make it the best play. I'm not saying you have to go for a hero play or something, but just that automatically lynching the top two instead of the top one isn't necessarily a good idea.On March 04 2024 12:25 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:24 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: I don't think the second wagon is a "town lynch" at all. In fact there's a decent likelihood that the second wagon would be pushed by mafia, no?On March 04 2024 12:19 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:16 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: Seems like an easy way to avoid the responsibility of the results of said lynch, no?On March 04 2024 12:14 Trfel wrote: [quote]May I ask, why should we vote for you as mayor? Well first off I didn't say pregame I'd vote for Palmar and then change my mind once the game started. Secondly I don't think I've ever been a mayor before. Thirdly I pledge to make my personal lynch a town lynch and will select whoever is the second in votes at the end of the day. And I don't understand why saying pregame that you would vote for Palmar and then changing your mind is a reason we should make you mayor? I was making a joke about Vivax saying he was going to autovote Palmar pregame and then immediately changed his mind. Imo the Mayor KP is town KP, not a oneshot Day vig. It's not about avoiding responsibility it's about giving the town a chance to pull a 2for1 on D1. Actually I'll cement that point, if I'm not going to win the mayor vote at the end of the day, I'm not going to vote for someone who hasn't also pledged to have the town decide the lynch. That's assuming the first lynch is scum which D1 imo is a crap shoot, it's just as likely to be town pushed by mafia and the runner up is the scum, hence the double tap. TL towns are like barely 50% for D1 scum lynches iirc. If both are town then we'll have played a colossally trash D1 and I wouldn't be trusting my own read anymore than I trust any other individual on D1. There's something to be said for wisdom of the crowds. Exactly. Dumb post from MZ. | ||
Trfel
6530 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:42 Vivax wrote: What makes you so confident DarthPunk is town?Show nested quote + On March 04 2024 12:41 iamperfection wrote: On March 04 2024 12:40 Vivax wrote: On March 04 2024 12:38 iamperfection wrote: can we not speculate on hypothetical wagons for now. For what its worth nobody's posts have given me mafia goosebumps yet. Are you so quick to write off Oats for not reading the OP? But I agree that I probably won‘t vote for him. He was good last game on MS though, when he was town. games in bizaro world dont count. DP town. Oats not so sure. Would you agree ? | ||
DarthPunk
Australia10821 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:42 Vivax wrote: Show nested quote + On March 04 2024 12:41 iamperfection wrote: On March 04 2024 12:40 Vivax wrote: On March 04 2024 12:38 iamperfection wrote: can we not speculate on hypothetical wagons for now. For what its worth nobody's posts have given me mafia goosebumps yet. Are you so quick to write off Oats for not reading the OP? But I agree that I probably won‘t vote for him. He was good last game on MS though, when he was town. games in bizaro world dont count. DP town. Oats not so sure. Would you agree ? Why am I town? | ||
iamperfection
United States9603 Posts
| ||
Vivax
Austria20945 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:43 DarthPunk wrote: Show nested quote + On March 04 2024 12:42 Vivax wrote: On March 04 2024 12:41 iamperfection wrote: On March 04 2024 12:40 Vivax wrote: On March 04 2024 12:38 iamperfection wrote: can we not speculate on hypothetical wagons for now. For what its worth nobody's posts have given me mafia goosebumps yet. Are you so quick to write off Oats for not reading the OP? But I agree that I probably won‘t vote for him. He was good last game on MS though, when he was town. games in bizaro world dont count. DP town. Oats not so sure. Would you agree ? Why am I town? I had the same thought about Oats at the same moment. That‘s what it felt like at least when I berated his question to the host. | ||
Meapak_Ziphh
United States6782 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:40 Trfel wrote: Show nested quote + There's almost nothing to be said for wisdom of the crowds, that's the point. It's 16 vs 5, the whole point is that wisdom of the crowds is really ineffective, that's how the game works.On March 04 2024 12:34 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: On March 04 2024 12:31 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:28 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: You're still ignoring the possibility that both are town. My point is, just because "town" votes for something doesn't make it the best play. I'm not saying you have to go for a hero play or something, but just that automatically lynching the top two instead of the top one isn't necessarily a good idea.On March 04 2024 12:25 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:24 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: I don't think the second wagon is a "town lynch" at all. In fact there's a decent likelihood that the second wagon would be pushed by mafia, no?On March 04 2024 12:19 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:16 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: Seems like an easy way to avoid the responsibility of the results of said lynch, no?On March 04 2024 12:14 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:11 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: May I ask, why should we vote for you as mayor?hbd Trfel, I'm thinking of running for mayor, we haven't had mayor elections in a looong time (or I haven't played in a game with mayor elections in a long time). Well first off I didn't say pregame I'd vote for Palmar and then change my mind once the game started. Secondly I don't think I've ever been a mayor before. Thirdly I pledge to make my personal lynch a town lynch and will select whoever is the second in votes at the end of the day. And I don't understand why saying pregame that you would vote for Palmar and then changing your mind is a reason we should make you mayor? I was making a joke about Vivax saying he was going to autovote Palmar pregame and then immediately changed his mind. Imo the Mayor KP is town KP, not a oneshot Day vig. It's not about avoiding responsibility it's about giving the town a chance to pull a 2for1 on D1. Actually I'll cement that point, if I'm not going to win the mayor vote at the end of the day, I'm not going to vote for someone who hasn't also pledged to have the town decide the lynch. That's assuming the first lynch is scum which D1 imo is a crap shoot, it's just as likely to be town pushed by mafia and the runner up is the scum, hence the double tap. TL towns are like barely 50% for D1 scum lynches iirc. If both are town then we'll have played a colossally trash D1 and I wouldn't be trusting my own read anymore than I trust any other individual on D1. There's something to be said for wisdom of the crowds. I think I fundamentally disagree with you on how the game works. I don't trust any one player on D1, much less do I trust their singular reads. Yes it's true that there might be someone who comes up with a perfect scumlist D1, but without any knowledge of flips, I have no way of knowing their list is better than mine. I obviously believe my reads first but on D1 they could be fucking terrible and I just don't know it yet. Town consensus at least provides multiple inputs so if I see several people who I think are good players reading the game the same way that I am, it helps me to solidify my reads. Let's put it this way. If I was a vig, I would never ever shoot D1. This mayor kill is no different than that in my eyes. Town KP is usually at a premium so I don't think it should be used based on one player's gut read D1. | ||
DarthPunk
Australia10821 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:42 Trfel wrote: Show nested quote + Mafia dumb or dumb dumb?On March 04 2024 12:41 DarthPunk wrote: On March 04 2024 12:40 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:34 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: There's almost nothing to be said for wisdom of the crowds, that's the point. It's 16 vs 5, the whole point is that wisdom of the crowds is really ineffective, that's how the game works.On March 04 2024 12:31 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:28 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: You're still ignoring the possibility that both are town. My point is, just because "town" votes for something doesn't make it the best play. I'm not saying you have to go for a hero play or something, but just that automatically lynching the top two instead of the top one isn't necessarily a good idea.On March 04 2024 12:25 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:24 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: I don't think the second wagon is a "town lynch" at all. In fact there's a decent likelihood that the second wagon would be pushed by mafia, no?On March 04 2024 12:19 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:16 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: Seems like an easy way to avoid the responsibility of the results of said lynch, no?[quote] Well first off I didn't say pregame I'd vote for Palmar and then change my mind once the game started. Secondly I don't think I've ever been a mayor before. Thirdly I pledge to make my personal lynch a town lynch and will select whoever is the second in votes at the end of the day. And I don't understand why saying pregame that you would vote for Palmar and then changing your mind is a reason we should make you mayor? I was making a joke about Vivax saying he was going to autovote Palmar pregame and then immediately changed his mind. Imo the Mayor KP is town KP, not a oneshot Day vig. It's not about avoiding responsibility it's about giving the town a chance to pull a 2for1 on D1. Actually I'll cement that point, if I'm not going to win the mayor vote at the end of the day, I'm not going to vote for someone who hasn't also pledged to have the town decide the lynch. That's assuming the first lynch is scum which D1 imo is a crap shoot, it's just as likely to be town pushed by mafia and the runner up is the scum, hence the double tap. TL towns are like barely 50% for D1 scum lynches iirc. If both are town then we'll have played a colossally trash D1 and I wouldn't be trusting my own read anymore than I trust any other individual on D1. There's something to be said for wisdom of the crowds. Exactly. Dumb post from MZ. Not sure, its a whole lot of words about not much at all. I certainly don't want him to be mayor, any rate. Both mayoral candidates have been underwhelming thus far | ||
Oatsmaster
United States16257 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:41 DarthPunk wrote: Show nested quote + On March 04 2024 12:39 Oatsmaster wrote: On March 04 2024 12:25 DarthPunk wrote: On March 04 2024 12:23 Oatsmaster wrote: On March 04 2024 12:21 DarthPunk wrote: Mayor will sort itself out, probably be marv at the end of the day if he is town. Hi again, not a big fan of you not pushing to be mayor, what gives? I don't think pushing for it actually does anything. You don’t seem to even want to be mayor Why would I not want to be mayor? What would that mean for my alignment if it was true? Getting mayor and yeeting town invites much more suspicion than otherwise which is obviously not something that you’d want to do as mafia | ||
Trfel
6530 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:33 Oatsmaster wrote: Sorry I completely missed this somehow.Trefel do you want to be mayor? I wouldn't mind being mayor, I think one advantage of me theoretically being mayor is that I am generally obvious town. I think it's very dangerous to nominate someone like Holyflare as mayor, since he has an extremely terrifying scum game capability, and giving them the extra protection is dangerous. Unfortunately I'm pretty garbage as mafia, and I think someone with a bad scum game is a good choice for mayor. However, I also am garbage at day 1's. Like DarthPunk, I don't think campaigning for mayor makes much sense, if people want to vote for me they can, I'm not going to worry too much about it. @DarthPunk, why don't you like Oatsmaster? I just read through his filter and it actually seems reasonable to me. | ||
DarthPunk
Australia10821 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:47 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: Show nested quote + On March 04 2024 12:40 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:34 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: There's almost nothing to be said for wisdom of the crowds, that's the point. It's 16 vs 5, the whole point is that wisdom of the crowds is really ineffective, that's how the game works.On March 04 2024 12:31 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:28 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: You're still ignoring the possibility that both are town. My point is, just because "town" votes for something doesn't make it the best play. I'm not saying you have to go for a hero play or something, but just that automatically lynching the top two instead of the top one isn't necessarily a good idea.On March 04 2024 12:25 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:24 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: I don't think the second wagon is a "town lynch" at all. In fact there's a decent likelihood that the second wagon would be pushed by mafia, no?On March 04 2024 12:19 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:16 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: Seems like an easy way to avoid the responsibility of the results of said lynch, no?On March 04 2024 12:14 Trfel wrote: [quote]May I ask, why should we vote for you as mayor? Well first off I didn't say pregame I'd vote for Palmar and then change my mind once the game started. Secondly I don't think I've ever been a mayor before. Thirdly I pledge to make my personal lynch a town lynch and will select whoever is the second in votes at the end of the day. And I don't understand why saying pregame that you would vote for Palmar and then changing your mind is a reason we should make you mayor? I was making a joke about Vivax saying he was going to autovote Palmar pregame and then immediately changed his mind. Imo the Mayor KP is town KP, not a oneshot Day vig. It's not about avoiding responsibility it's about giving the town a chance to pull a 2for1 on D1. Actually I'll cement that point, if I'm not going to win the mayor vote at the end of the day, I'm not going to vote for someone who hasn't also pledged to have the town decide the lynch. That's assuming the first lynch is scum which D1 imo is a crap shoot, it's just as likely to be town pushed by mafia and the runner up is the scum, hence the double tap. TL towns are like barely 50% for D1 scum lynches iirc. If both are town then we'll have played a colossally trash D1 and I wouldn't be trusting my own read anymore than I trust any other individual on D1. There's something to be said for wisdom of the crowds. I think I fundamentally disagree with you on how the game works. I don't trust any one player on D1, much less do I trust their singular reads. Yes it's true that there might be someone who comes up with a perfect scumlist D1, but without any knowledge of flips, I have no way of knowing their list is better than mine. I obviously believe my reads first but on D1 they could be fucking terrible and I just don't know it yet. Town consensus at least provides multiple inputs so if I see several people who I think are good players reading the game the same way that I am, it helps me to solidify my reads. Let's put it this way. If I was a vig, I would never ever shoot D1. This mayor kill is no different than that in my eyes. Town KP is usually at a premium so I don't think it should be used based on one player's gut read D1. How about we just talk about who is mafia and who is town. | ||
JacobStrangelove
Australia1572 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:48 DarthPunk wrote: Show nested quote + On March 04 2024 12:42 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:41 DarthPunk wrote: Mafia dumb or dumb dumb?On March 04 2024 12:40 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:34 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: There's almost nothing to be said for wisdom of the crowds, that's the point. It's 16 vs 5, the whole point is that wisdom of the crowds is really ineffective, that's how the game works.On March 04 2024 12:31 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:28 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: You're still ignoring the possibility that both are town. My point is, just because "town" votes for something doesn't make it the best play. I'm not saying you have to go for a hero play or something, but just that automatically lynching the top two instead of the top one isn't necessarily a good idea.On March 04 2024 12:25 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:24 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: I don't think the second wagon is a "town lynch" at all. In fact there's a decent likelihood that the second wagon would be pushed by mafia, no?On March 04 2024 12:19 Trfel wrote: [quote]Seems like an easy way to avoid the responsibility of the results of said lynch, no? And I don't understand why saying pregame that you would vote for Palmar and then changing your mind is a reason we should make you mayor? I was making a joke about Vivax saying he was going to autovote Palmar pregame and then immediately changed his mind. Imo the Mayor KP is town KP, not a oneshot Day vig. It's not about avoiding responsibility it's about giving the town a chance to pull a 2for1 on D1. Actually I'll cement that point, if I'm not going to win the mayor vote at the end of the day, I'm not going to vote for someone who hasn't also pledged to have the town decide the lynch. That's assuming the first lynch is scum which D1 imo is a crap shoot, it's just as likely to be town pushed by mafia and the runner up is the scum, hence the double tap. TL towns are like barely 50% for D1 scum lynches iirc. If both are town then we'll have played a colossally trash D1 and I wouldn't be trusting my own read anymore than I trust any other individual on D1. There's something to be said for wisdom of the crowds. Exactly. Dumb post from MZ. Not sure, its a whole lot of words about not much at all. I certainly don't want him to be mayor, any rate. Both mayoral candidates have been underwhelming thus far Wait you've forgotten about me! Also MZ sure trusting no one person but if it's like 16 /5 and you trust yourself it's now 15/5 is that better odds than day one second town lynch? Actually probably not and it at least gets someone town doesn't like gone but in your own words defend yourself! | ||
die_meatbaby
Austria1105 Posts
And how are we supposed to choose a mayor who should be town so early in the game | ||
Oatsmaster
United States16257 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:41 Vivax wrote: Show nested quote + On March 04 2024 12:39 DarthPunk wrote: On March 04 2024 12:37 Vivax wrote: On March 04 2024 12:34 Oatsmaster wrote: @grack how do we differentiate lynch and mayor votes 1. You forgot to greenfont 2. I don‘t like this post Don't you feel like oats was way more together in the game on MS. Like he was the one nit picking small details. Oats is smart and the acting dense shtick seems fake to me. He‘s spamming too much it forces everybody else to post more containment garbage. Ridiculous statement when I have way more useful content than you | ||
DarthPunk
Australia10821 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:50 Trfel wrote: Sorry I completely missed this somehow. I wouldn't mind being mayor, I think one advantage of me theoretically being mayor is that I am generally obvious town. I think it's very dangerous to nominate someone like Holyflare as mayor, since he has an extremely terrifying scum game capability, and giving them the extra protection is dangerous. Unfortunately I'm pretty garbage as mafia, and I think someone with a bad scum game is a good choice for mayor. However, I also am garbage at day 1's. Like DarthPunk, I don't think campaigning for mayor makes much sense, if people want to vote for me they can, I'm not going to worry too much about it. @DarthPunk, why don't you like Oatsmaster? I just read through his filter and it actually seems reasonable to me. His lack of 'sharpness' compared to the last game we played together. He was really sharp in that game. Where as here he is not even aware of how the game works. | ||
iamperfection
United States9603 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:51 die_meatbaby wrote: So the game started not even an hour ago and people making here already Townreads. How is this possible. I would never give somebody a townread this early. And how are we supposed to choose a mayor who should be town so early in the game upset that town are making town reads? | ||
DarthPunk
Australia10821 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:51 die_meatbaby wrote: So the game started not even an hour ago and people making here already Townreads. How is this possible. I would never give somebody a townread this early. And how are we supposed to choose a mayor who should be town so early in the game If there are town reads and you think they are too early shouldn't you be asking those players why they have that read? | ||
Oatsmaster
United States16257 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:51 die_meatbaby wrote: So the game started not even an hour ago and people making here already Townreads. How is this possible. I would never give somebody a townread this early. And how are we supposed to choose a mayor who should be town so early in the game Do you think the townreads are good or bad | ||
DarthPunk
Australia10821 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:51 Oatsmaster wrote: Show nested quote + On March 04 2024 12:41 Vivax wrote: On March 04 2024 12:39 DarthPunk wrote: On March 04 2024 12:37 Vivax wrote: On March 04 2024 12:34 Oatsmaster wrote: @grack how do we differentiate lynch and mayor votes 1. You forgot to greenfont 2. I don‘t like this post Don't you feel like oats was way more together in the game on MS. Like he was the one nit picking small details. Oats is smart and the acting dense shtick seems fake to me. He‘s spamming too much it forces everybody else to post more containment garbage. Ridiculous statement when I have way more useful content than you Do you though? | ||
Trfel
6530 Posts
On March 04 2024 12:50 DarthPunk wrote: I thought it would be useful to get into his mindset a bit, I think the utility has run its course though.Show nested quote + On March 04 2024 12:47 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: On March 04 2024 12:40 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:34 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: There's almost nothing to be said for wisdom of the crowds, that's the point. It's 16 vs 5, the whole point is that wisdom of the crowds is really ineffective, that's how the game works.On March 04 2024 12:31 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:28 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: You're still ignoring the possibility that both are town. My point is, just because "town" votes for something doesn't make it the best play. I'm not saying you have to go for a hero play or something, but just that automatically lynching the top two instead of the top one isn't necessarily a good idea.On March 04 2024 12:25 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:24 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: I don't think the second wagon is a "town lynch" at all. In fact there's a decent likelihood that the second wagon would be pushed by mafia, no?On March 04 2024 12:19 Trfel wrote: On March 04 2024 12:16 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: Seems like an easy way to avoid the responsibility of the results of said lynch, no?[quote] Well first off I didn't say pregame I'd vote for Palmar and then change my mind once the game started. Secondly I don't think I've ever been a mayor before. Thirdly I pledge to make my personal lynch a town lynch and will select whoever is the second in votes at the end of the day. And I don't understand why saying pregame that you would vote for Palmar and then changing your mind is a reason we should make you mayor? I was making a joke about Vivax saying he was going to autovote Palmar pregame and then immediately changed his mind. Imo the Mayor KP is town KP, not a oneshot Day vig. It's not about avoiding responsibility it's about giving the town a chance to pull a 2for1 on D1. Actually I'll cement that point, if I'm not going to win the mayor vote at the end of the day, I'm not going to vote for someone who hasn't also pledged to have the town decide the lynch. That's assuming the first lynch is scum which D1 imo is a crap shoot, it's just as likely to be town pushed by mafia and the runner up is the scum, hence the double tap. TL towns are like barely 50% for D1 scum lynches iirc. If both are town then we'll have played a colossally trash D1 and I wouldn't be trusting my own read anymore than I trust any other individual on D1. There's something to be said for wisdom of the crowds. I think I fundamentally disagree with you on how the game works. I don't trust any one player on D1, much less do I trust their singular reads. Yes it's true that there might be someone who comes up with a perfect scumlist D1, but without any knowledge of flips, I have no way of knowing their list is better than mine. I obviously believe my reads first but on D1 they could be fucking terrible and I just don't know it yet. Town consensus at least provides multiple inputs so if I see several people who I think are good players reading the game the same way that I am, it helps me to solidify my reads. Let's put it this way. If I was a vig, I would never ever shoot D1. This mayor kill is no different than that in my eyes. Town KP is usually at a premium so I don't think it should be used based on one player's gut read D1. How about we just talk about who is mafia and who is town. To respond to your other post, (and also I suppose I can include Vivax or anyone else in the discussion about Oatsmaster), I felt like Oatsmaster has actually provided some substance this game. He has taken a unique angle in being interested in why players [i[don't[/i] want to be mayor, and he's been following up on this. I think that's actually rather decent for being less than an hour in. Really it feels genuine to me, like he's truly interested in the approach and people's answers. | ||
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